[Football- England 'League One'] 25.11/ 16:00 Bolton- Exeter

1 (handicap -1,5) @2,30

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Fazio
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Joined: 15 Oct 2020 00:12

[Football- England 'League One'] 25.11/ 16:00 Bolton- Exeter

Post by Fazio » 25 Nov 2023 16:52

[Football- England 'League One'] 25.11/ 16:00 Bolton- Exeter

Bolton are the form team of League One, having won their last 5 league games (last 7 including cup comps). Their hot run of form has seen them jump to 3rd on the table with an 11-2-3 record, just one point behind the league leaders. Their 30 goals scored is 4th best in the league while their 18 conceded is 5th best.

They are at home this week against Exeter who are sitting in 20th position, just above the relegation zone, with a 5-2-9 record. Exeter had a good start to the season picking up early points, but they’ve crashed since then - they’ve gone 0-1-7 in their last 8 fixtures with their last win coming back in mid September.

Offensively they’ve been awful, only scoring 12 goals (3rd worst). Defensively they’ve been ok, only conceding 22 which is middle of the pile, but I am focused on their recent away form. In their last 4 away games in the league they’ve lost 3-0, 2-0, 4-1 & 3-0. One of those losses came against a top team, while the rest came against teams much weaker than Bolton, including their most recent loss which came against a team below them on the table.

Both teams are coming off cup wins during the week against lower division opposition, but expecting Bolton to be too strong here against an Exeter team that struggles to score and has been defensively frail on the road. Bolton have no significant injury concerns, and Exeter have to deal with a 5 hour journey, so happy to take the juicy odds for Bolton to win by a couple or more.

1 (handicap -1,5) @2,30 Bet365

FT 7:0

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