This score should have been 2-0 or even 3-0. Celje had 8 shots with 6 on target at the half. Comparatively, Bravo had only shot which happened to be the first goal of the game off a corner where a Celje defender had a poor clear which lead to an impressive header by Bravo. At half time I told everyone following the post to bet live because Celje was dominating on the stat sheet. It took longer than I hoped but a Celje sub scored the go ahead goal in the 82nd minute for a 5U
. Fortunately, I bet live and even got +180 on a ML bet at one point to add a few units to my bank roll. Make sure to check the side bets if you haven't already!Back to back Slovenian matches as our POTD. Apparently the Slovenians are the only teams that play league games early in the week. The unemployment rate in Slovenia must be high because their crowds are surprisingly loud for an afternoon soccer game on a week day.
Celje has been formidable at home for what seems like forever. The last time they lost a home game was in December 2021. During this time, they have been equalizing against the top Slovenian teams and beating the teams below them consistently at home.
Today they play against Bravo who is 7th in the SNL at 6-4-12 although with a good GD of -2. However, Bravo’s form has fallen off compared to the start of the season. They are 0-4-1 in their last 5 giving up 8 goals and only scoring 1 and 0-2 to start the new year. The last time Bravo won an away game was in October against the league’s worst team Radomlje, the same team that until yesterday hadn’t won a game since July. Bravo has also only scored 1 goal in their last 6 away games. Bravo is also 0-3 in their last three games in Celje.
I am giving this game a solid
because the stats are strongly on our side but there are some red flags. Bravo is in poor form but their GD is -2 so they have some potential to be a competent soccer team. Celje has also yet to put up back to back home wins since October. Celje's last home game was a win... Lastly, the Slovenian refs seem to not be too shy when it comes to giving red cards. Maybe I am still scarred from losing the POTD yesterday due to a 24 minute red card. Despite all the red flags, I still think Celje comes away with a win and a clean sheet. Prediction: 2-0 CeljeNote: Even though the confidence metric is just 1 out of 4 stars, I am still more confident in this pick than all of my 1-4U side bets. The metric is comparing this pick versus past 5U bets. Truthfully, this pick is very close to being 2 out of 4.
Alternate Bet for this game: Parlaying the ML with u2.5g or u3.5g is something I would bet if my books allowed it.
1 @1,70 Bet365
FT 2:1
