[Football- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications] 22.3/ 17:00 Benin- Rwanda
Posted: 22 Mar 2023 16:59
[Football- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications] 22.3/ 17:00 Benin- Rwanda
Benin is becoming a runaway favorite to win this game as the money line has fallen off a hill, opening at +110 and falling to -145 on Bovada, and other books to -175. This line may even fall further hopefully giving us some CLV.
Benin is ranked 91st in the World FIFA ranking and they get to play at home against a Rwanda team who is 137th. In their two H2H matchups, Benin has won once and drew once.
In their last qualifying match, Benin lost 1-0 to Mozambique (#114 FIFA rank) but Benin had the possession advantage at 56% and the shot advantage at 13 shots (and 2 on target) to 8 and 1 of Mozambique. When Rwanda played Mozambique in their qualifier, they tied 1-1 however Rwanda only had 33% of the possession and 9 shots to 5 on target versus Mozambique who got off 13 and 6.
The reality of it is that Rwanda is a bad team and their coach knows it. So Rwanda will be playing 11 men back to try and prevent goals with strong defensive and counter attacking strategy. Benin should be having a 65-70% possession with upwards of 15 shots in this game.
Benin is better than Mozambique, has home field and a new coach who is leagues better than Rwanda's. This game should be low scoring with a good chance of a shutout. Because of this I am taking the u4.5g combo bet on the money line. Benin will also be motivated to win this game because they need wins right now to qualify seeing as their first two games were a draw and loss (to Senegal the favorite to win this group). A win here and a big Mozambique loss to Senegal and they will likely qualify.
1 @1,70 1xbet
FT 1:1
Benin is becoming a runaway favorite to win this game as the money line has fallen off a hill, opening at +110 and falling to -145 on Bovada, and other books to -175. This line may even fall further hopefully giving us some CLV.
Benin is ranked 91st in the World FIFA ranking and they get to play at home against a Rwanda team who is 137th. In their two H2H matchups, Benin has won once and drew once.
In their last qualifying match, Benin lost 1-0 to Mozambique (#114 FIFA rank) but Benin had the possession advantage at 56% and the shot advantage at 13 shots (and 2 on target) to 8 and 1 of Mozambique. When Rwanda played Mozambique in their qualifier, they tied 1-1 however Rwanda only had 33% of the possession and 9 shots to 5 on target versus Mozambique who got off 13 and 6.
The reality of it is that Rwanda is a bad team and their coach knows it. So Rwanda will be playing 11 men back to try and prevent goals with strong defensive and counter attacking strategy. Benin should be having a 65-70% possession with upwards of 15 shots in this game.
Benin is better than Mozambique, has home field and a new coach who is leagues better than Rwanda's. This game should be low scoring with a good chance of a shutout. Because of this I am taking the u4.5g combo bet on the money line. Benin will also be motivated to win this game because they need wins right now to qualify seeing as their first two games were a draw and loss (to Senegal the favorite to win this group). A win here and a big Mozambique loss to Senegal and they will likely qualify.
1 @1,70 1xbet
FT 1:1