[Football- Italy 'Serie A'] 13.3/ 20:45 AC Milan- Salernitana

[MN]

[Football- Italy 'Serie A'] 13.3/ 20:45 AC Milan- Salernitana

Looking at corners for AC Milan, they currently average 3.9 corners for them per game with 4.6 corners against them for a total of 8.7 corners per game. Looking at home corners, they have had 4, 3, 2, 3, 5, 3, 2, 9, 9, 2, 5, and 5 corners for them for an average of 4.33 corners for them per game. Only two games had them going over 5 corners, with those games being against Juventus and Napoli with AC Milan playing on the counter with reduced possession. Their home games average 8.25 corners, which is lower than their total average which includes away games (8.7). In short, AC Milan has only gone over 5 corners on two home games and at home, they typically underperform on total corners (average drops from 8.7 to 8.25). Their home games have gone over 10 corners on 4 out of 12 occasions.

Looking at corners for Salernitana, they currently average 3.6 corners for them per game with 4.4 against for a total of 8 corners per game. Looking at away corners, they average 3.67 away (from a sample of 12) with their away games averaging 8 total corners per game. Only once has their away games gone over 10 corners.

Given that AC Milan has a home average of 4.3 corners and Salernitana has an away average of 3.67, I don't see them combining for over 10 corners. Pooling AC Milan's home games and Salernitana's away games, over 10 corners have hit 5/24 games (21%). In addition, AC Milan rarely goes over 5 corners, only doing so twice when they had reduced possession (2/12 games, 16.67%). Based on this, an argument could be made that the probability of both of these hitting based on previous results is roughly 65.83% (combined probabilities). Given this information, I see that under 10.5 corners should hit comfortably and the home side should hit a maximum of 5 corners in the game.

under 10,5 corners @1,85 Unibet

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