[Football- France 'Ligue 1'] 2.1/ 19:30 Montpellier- Marseille
Posted: 02 Jan 2023 13:30
[Football- France 'Ligue 1'] 2.1/ 19:30 Montpellier- Marseille
Tudor's side has been very solid this season, and are currently in 3rd place, boasting a respectable 33 points in 16 encounters (2.06 points per match); with 31 xG (1.94 goals per game) - 3rd best in the league - and 17.75 xGA (1.1 per game) - they rightly deserve their Champions League spot.
I expect Montpellier are in relatively high spirits, considering they defeated 6th placed Lorient 2-0 in an admittedly impressive showing; don't be fooled, though, because although Le Bris' side can - and should - be proud of their 31 points, they should be wary of their 20.5 xPoints, which would place them in... 12th place; to put it another way, Lorient has been significantly overperforming, no matter how you look at it.
So now that we've established that Montpellier's triumph wasn't all that special, how about we take a look at them: 17 points in 16 games (1.06 points per game) and a measly 20 xGoals (1.25 goals per game), 13th and 17th in the league, respectively; they're also far from stellar defensively, taking 29 goals (1.81 per game).
Marseille is expected to score 1.87 goals here, and concede only 1.17. I'm expecting them to win this easily. Take the favorite and don't look back.
Best of luck to all who tail - and to those who don’t, because why not, let’s all spread the love! - and have a wonderful evening.
2 @1,85 Bet365
FT 1:2
Tudor's side has been very solid this season, and are currently in 3rd place, boasting a respectable 33 points in 16 encounters (2.06 points per match); with 31 xG (1.94 goals per game) - 3rd best in the league - and 17.75 xGA (1.1 per game) - they rightly deserve their Champions League spot.
I expect Montpellier are in relatively high spirits, considering they defeated 6th placed Lorient 2-0 in an admittedly impressive showing; don't be fooled, though, because although Le Bris' side can - and should - be proud of their 31 points, they should be wary of their 20.5 xPoints, which would place them in... 12th place; to put it another way, Lorient has been significantly overperforming, no matter how you look at it.
So now that we've established that Montpellier's triumph wasn't all that special, how about we take a look at them: 17 points in 16 games (1.06 points per game) and a measly 20 xGoals (1.25 goals per game), 13th and 17th in the league, respectively; they're also far from stellar defensively, taking 29 goals (1.81 per game).
Marseille is expected to score 1.87 goals here, and concede only 1.17. I'm expecting them to win this easily. Take the favorite and don't look back.
Best of luck to all who tail - and to those who don’t, because why not, let’s all spread the love! - and have a wonderful evening.
2 @1,85 Bet365
FT 1:2