[Football- Conference League] 5.5/ 21:00 Olympique Marseille- Feyenoord

[MN]

[Football- Conference League] 5.5/ 21:00 Olympique Marseille- Feyenoord

2nd leg match in the semifinals of the UEFA Europa Conference League will see OM hosting at home Feyenoord, being down 1 goal Marseille won't waste time and will look to score to get back in the game, will Feyenoord allow that? Probably, but I think the play here is corners, we got a sneaky hint in the 1st leg that could be the whole reason I like this bet, but I'll go ahead into more details to back it up even more.

I've said this before in many of my previous picks but I'll say it again, when there's a 2 leg affair between teams of similar strenght when x team wins the first leg y team almost always comebacks in the 2nd leg full offensive, ESPECIALLY if x team have won in their home, you can check yourself, so far in 24 matches both in Europa League and Europa Conference League the team that was down in the first leg won the corner battle in the second leg, this did not happen in like 3 or 4 matches, but that's the risk involved, seems fair when you have those odds, I call that value. There's no point looking at each teams stats in terms of corners, you already know that Marseille will mostly dominate the whole game, and like I anticipated we had a precious hint in the first leg: Feyenoord had an insane momentum in the first half that got them the lead, going into the 2nd half leading 3-2 up in corners 5-0, Feyenoord were probably okay with the result and decided to defend the rest of the game, conceding 5 corners to Marseille while winning only 1 themselves, and that was Marseille playing away.

Like always, only dangerous scenario would be if Marseille happened to score 3 goals in the first like 20 minutes, but that's not likely, if Feyenoord decide to play like they did in the 2nd half of the first leg Marseille should struggle. Main Feyenoord keeper is still out, which is why I still also like Marseille -0.25 asian handicap or something along those lines, but technically there should be more value in a corner bet, we'll see if I'm right.

Marseille over 5.5 corners @1,85 Bet365
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