[Football- Champions League] 4.5/ 21:00 Real Madrid- Manchester City
Bookies still giving Manchester City as a favourite to win, in the first leg Man City to win was @1.45 and 4-3 is not an outcome you'd expect with those odds, now that Real is down 1 and playing at home it's pretty obvious they'll try to achieve an even better performance.
I'll try to keep it short since I assume not many people will see this. Final leg of the UCL semifinals between Real and City, after an exciting 4-3 match at City's home Real will look to get a positive result at the Santiago Bernabeu, possibly bringing them to overtime (a draw wouldn't be enough) and give them a chance of qualifying to the final against Liverpool (which, by the way, they have beat at home in last year' UCL quarterfinals).
Manchester City haven't been performing that well in away matches in the UCL this year (considering how strong they are), 0-0 draw against Atlético Madrid, 2-1 loss against Leipzig and 2-0 loss against PSG. While Madrid are notoriously known for their impressive home performances, except for recent loss against Chelsea 2-3 (they could afford it though being up 2 goals in the first leg) we have to remember how they came back against PSG after first leg loss 1-0, at home they ended up winning 3-1. In 17 home games in LaLiga Real have only lost once. No major missing players for either team.
I expect a closed game compared to the first leg, with Manchester City focused more on the defensive end and Real setting the pace. While I think it's more likely for Real to draw (and still not qualify) or win (and go to overtime if by 1 goal), the chance of losing to City is still there, although I think it's very low, if that's the case there's no way it'll be by more than 1 goal. This handicap should be pretty safe, if you bet 1u and Real loses by 1 your gonna just lose 0.5u, worth the shot.
1X @1,80 Bet365
FT 2:1
[Football- Champions League] 4.5/ 21:00 Real Madrid- Manchester City
1X @1,80
