[Football- Champions League Qualifiers] 19.7/ 21:00 Valmiera- Olimpija Ljubljana

[Zlatko]

[Football- Champions League Qualifiers] 19.7/ 21:00 Valmiera- Olimpija Ljubljana

Olimpija had 2 goals on 6 shots on target (home) while Valmiera had 1 goal on 2 shots on target (away)
Valmiera has found the back of the net in 5 of their last 7 games and kept a clean sheet in only 4 of their last 10
Olimpija has scored in 9 of their last 10 games... and 14 of the last 15 and kept a clean sheet in only 3 of their last 10

Reasoning for this Pick: Olimpija had a fairly easy time against Valmiera in their home leg, with the away side finding a way to sneak a goal in toward the end of the game. There are new faces and youngsters on Olimpija's back line, and they are not yet into their league season... so they are still finding their rhythm as a unit. They are going to be susceptible to giving up a goal, regardless of the circumstances of the match. When you throw in the stakes of this match for Valmiera, I believe they will be pressing hard (and riding high on their late, late goal in the first match). They did play mid-week (and won 2-0), so they are not as well-rested as Olimpija who will have just been focused singularly on this match... but I think with the result going their way at mid-week coupled with the late goal in the previous leg of this match - the shorter rest won't be an issue. I could see the longer layoff being more of a curse than a blessing for the less cohesive backline of Olimpija, especially since their recent competition has just been friendlies while they await the start of their domestic campaign.

BTTS (Both Teams to Score) @1,90 Bwin

FT 1:2