[Football- England 'League One'] 25.10/ 20:45 Peterborough- Accrington

1 (handicap -1,5) @2,00

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Robredo
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[Football- England 'League One'] 25.10/ 20:45 Peterborough- Accrington

Post by Robredo » 25 Oct 2022 20:21

[Football- England 'League One'] 25.10/ 20:45 Peterborough- Accrington

Trying to start some kind of streak here after a nice win last time. Today's POTD comes from League One where there are actually quite a few matches I like. There are at least 3 or 4 quality teams playing against inferior opponents. This is one of them. Peterborough currently sit in 4th place and are looking to get into the promotion race with 3 of their next 4 opponents placed 10th or worse in the league standings. Accrington currently sit 17th and have lost 3 consecutive league games only scoring a combined 2 goals in those matches (both were at home against the same opponent, Bolton). Accrington are quite an average away team. They have only scored 4 goals in 6 matches with 2 wins since August as the away team. Peterborough on the other hand are one of the top home teams in the league. They've only lost 1 home game since August, while winning 5, and drawing 1. They've scored 17 goals over these 8 home games as well, proving that they usually show up for their home supporters! This being their first home match since October 11th, I believe they'll want to come out strong and try to dominate against an inferior Accrington team. Head-to-head between these 2 sides also favors Peterborough as they have come out victorious in 4 of the last 5 meetings, while scoring 19 goals to Accrington's 1! This is one of the most lopsided head-to-head's I've every seen in only a 5 game span. All 4 Peterborough wins in this span have covered a -1 spread as well. And while Peterborough are certainly capable of putting up goals (their 28 GF is tied for 2nd in League One), they do tend to concede more goals then you would like from a team with promotion aspirations. I believe this is why the implied probability on the Asian handicap are 45%. Regardless, even if Peterborough win by just a goal, a push is a win, though I believe the odds here are generous and worthy to try.

1 (handicap -1,5) @2,00 Bwin

FT 3:1

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