We are starting a real Italian battle for Rome. I expected that I would not hide the line 4.5 or Asian 5 at similar rates, but the beeches know their stuff and are probably right about this line, so we are going against it. On foreign betting sites, I play an over line of 7, which includes yellow and red cards, at odds of 1.8, and I also play a high-stakes bet over 5 yellow cards @1.45, also on foreign betting sites. The average of these teams in the last 12 meetings is 6.1 yellow cards per match and 0.58 red cards. I'm not even worried about line 5 or 6 yellows, but to close line 7 I will need either a hail of yellows or a subtle red which, combined with the remaining warnings, will close all 3 bets.
The referee of the match is Marco Guida. A very unequal referee and inconsistent in his actions, but he judges matches at the top with a great deal of scrupulousness. This season, he has shown 5 or more cards 5 times in 14 matches. He refereed the Derby della Capitale twice - 6 cards in one match and 7 cards in the other. This season he shows well over 4 cards per match, but this is one of his weaker years in terms of individual warnings, so today I'm counting on a slight improvement in his statistics. Both teams are fighting at the Cups. Both teams have been playing together for many years, year after year, not necessarily twice a season. Every match there is a significant number of cards, and if I did a little research back, looking at the statistics from the last matches, in probably 20 matches, only in one less than 5 cards were shown. The Italians assume that the teams will not finish this match, at least one. Good luck!over 5,5 cards @1,70 Bet365
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