Nakashima has a psychological advantage as he won the only head-to-head meeting with Hurkacz on clay at an exhibition tournament in 2020. This past success could boost his confidence going into the match. In addition, Hurkacz tough five-set win over Mochizuki in the first round of Roland Garros highlights his potential vulnerability and fatigue, which Nakashima can use to his advantage.
Hurkach's fatigue factor: His recent five-set match and extensive season on clay with 15 matches since early April may leave him less capable of sustaining matches against Nakashima. Nakashima's stamina and preparation: Nakashima is five years younger and had plenty of time to rest before Roland Garros. His tactical awareness and recent four-set win over Moreno De Alboran show that he is in the best physical and mental shape for a long run against Hurkacz. CONCLUSION: Given Hurkacz's historical difficulties at Roland Garros, his current level of fatigue and Nakashima's form, the latter has a good chance of winning both games and sets with his forehand.2 (handicap +5,5 gems) @1,70 Bet365
