[Tennis- 'ATP Montpellier'] 30.1/ 14:30 H.Mayot- L.Pouille
Posted: 30 Jan 2024 16:25
[Tennis- 'ATP Montpellier'] 30.1/ 14:30 H.Mayot- L.Pouille
The offer for Tuesday is exceptionally poor, but this is not surprising, as we only have one ATP tournament in the game, which basically happens on holidays. A more relaxed week has begun after the Grand Slam, which will be filled with the Davis Cup games, but from the following Monday there will be a lot going on and this will continue until November. Today I took a closer look at the match of my compatriots, so the unpredictability of the predictions increases significantly from the very beginning, and that's not the end. Both are in quite a specific situation, as Mayot, the favorite of this match, is coming off a rather embarrassing defeat against Ajdukovic, with whom he gave up a 5-0 lead in the tie-break of the first set and ultimately lost the match 0-2. The Croatian was already on fire, and the Frenchman stiffened so much in front of his home crowd that he gave up seven points in a row, without any reason - the momentum clearly belonged to him. Pouille, in turn, started the season brilliantly, until the match against Vacherot in Thailand, when the injury recurred, and the problem was probably in the back. Later he played in Quimper and did poorly because he lost to Kopriva, a player who made a positive impression at the Australian Open and even fought against Korda. This does not change the fact that it was going to be a good time for Lucas, and again his health does not allow him to play well. Pouille recently returned to playing after a long break, during which he fell into depression and alcoholism. That's why he's not the favorite here and I'm not surprised that bookmakers don't trust him. After two smooth defeats, however, I hope that he will rehabilitate himself a bit, and since he is about to start, he probably feels better, because I doubt that a player with such a CV would want to embarrass himself and collect a little money for the first rounds. He has an opponent who may be devastated by his attitude from the last match, and if his health is OK, the more experienced Frenchman has the right to fight for at least a set. However, there are so many unknowns that I prefer not to bet on the winner and go for service aces, because the line does not look bad at all, but at least two equal sets are needed, and preferably three. Both men have the potential to cover overs in this respect. Mayot's recent service scores are as follows: 7, 12, 6, 4 and 7 aces. It doesn't look great or bad, because the average is even satisfactory for us, and what is important to emphasize is the fact that the matches were usually short, in open conditions, and Harold has a rather leaky defense, which opens the door for Lucas. Pouille, on the other hand, recently recorded: 5, 6, 9, 7 and 2 aces. The fact that each of these matches was short is certainly a plus, but it is worrying that the last match in the hall, which he lost, had only two aces. Both of them have the potential to even come close to this line individually, and at the moment it's hard to say which one has the greater potential. If it weren't for Lucas' recent starts, I would say that he will be key in this bet, but now I'm not sure. Undoubtedly, both of them have to be up to the challenge and we can count on the fact that the match will not be short, although even in such a match the men were able to put up quite solid numbers. The line seems to be drawn quite rationally, but we know that both can do much better. A match between our compatriots, quite unpredictable, both players in quite unknown form, so the stakes should be reasonable.
over 21,5 gems @1,85 Bet365
The offer for Tuesday is exceptionally poor, but this is not surprising, as we only have one ATP tournament in the game, which basically happens on holidays. A more relaxed week has begun after the Grand Slam, which will be filled with the Davis Cup games, but from the following Monday there will be a lot going on and this will continue until November. Today I took a closer look at the match of my compatriots, so the unpredictability of the predictions increases significantly from the very beginning, and that's not the end. Both are in quite a specific situation, as Mayot, the favorite of this match, is coming off a rather embarrassing defeat against Ajdukovic, with whom he gave up a 5-0 lead in the tie-break of the first set and ultimately lost the match 0-2. The Croatian was already on fire, and the Frenchman stiffened so much in front of his home crowd that he gave up seven points in a row, without any reason - the momentum clearly belonged to him. Pouille, in turn, started the season brilliantly, until the match against Vacherot in Thailand, when the injury recurred, and the problem was probably in the back. Later he played in Quimper and did poorly because he lost to Kopriva, a player who made a positive impression at the Australian Open and even fought against Korda. This does not change the fact that it was going to be a good time for Lucas, and again his health does not allow him to play well. Pouille recently returned to playing after a long break, during which he fell into depression and alcoholism. That's why he's not the favorite here and I'm not surprised that bookmakers don't trust him. After two smooth defeats, however, I hope that he will rehabilitate himself a bit, and since he is about to start, he probably feels better, because I doubt that a player with such a CV would want to embarrass himself and collect a little money for the first rounds. He has an opponent who may be devastated by his attitude from the last match, and if his health is OK, the more experienced Frenchman has the right to fight for at least a set. However, there are so many unknowns that I prefer not to bet on the winner and go for service aces, because the line does not look bad at all, but at least two equal sets are needed, and preferably three. Both men have the potential to cover overs in this respect. Mayot's recent service scores are as follows: 7, 12, 6, 4 and 7 aces. It doesn't look great or bad, because the average is even satisfactory for us, and what is important to emphasize is the fact that the matches were usually short, in open conditions, and Harold has a rather leaky defense, which opens the door for Lucas. Pouille, on the other hand, recently recorded: 5, 6, 9, 7 and 2 aces. The fact that each of these matches was short is certainly a plus, but it is worrying that the last match in the hall, which he lost, had only two aces. Both of them have the potential to even come close to this line individually, and at the moment it's hard to say which one has the greater potential. If it weren't for Lucas' recent starts, I would say that he will be key in this bet, but now I'm not sure. Undoubtedly, both of them have to be up to the challenge and we can count on the fact that the match will not be short, although even in such a match the men were able to put up quite solid numbers. The line seems to be drawn quite rationally, but we know that both can do much better. A match between our compatriots, quite unpredictable, both players in quite unknown form, so the stakes should be reasonable.
over 21,5 gems @1,85 Bet365