[Football- Brazil 'Serie A'] 10.7/ 21:30 Palmeiras- Santos

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MN
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[Football- Brazil 'Serie A'] 10.7/ 21:30 Palmeiras- Santos

Post by MN » 10 Jul 2021 11:52

[Football- Brazil 'Serie A'] 10.7/ 21:30 Palmeiras- Santos

Well it looks like the bookies continue to undervalue Palmeiras at home, my last pick had Palmeiras at home against bottom of the table, and the managed to cruise to a 2-0 victory. Palmeiras are on a tear at the moment, with 4 straight Ws. Palmeiras have won 4 of their 5 home games this season, with a draw against Corinthians completing the 5. Palmeiras have scored 11 this season (10.20 xG) and conceded 5 (6.36 xGA). In H2H, Palmeiras have won 3 of the last 5. Expecting another solid performance from Breno Lopes here, a player who likes a goal vs Santos.

Santos are a team who have not travelled well this season, picking up only 1 point away from home so far. In Brazil, there are a lot of games and a lot of travelling, so it is very difficult for the teams, so maybe this is expected to some degree. This shows in their record. At home, Santos are competitive, and they sit in 7th in the overall table. However, in the away results table, they sit second bottom (Gremio being the bottom placed team in away form). There is nothing to suggest that they will turn it around here against the form side of the division. In matches away from home this season, Santos have played 4, won 0, drawn 1 and lost 3. They have scored 2 goals (3.49 xGF) and have conceded 8 (5.95 xGA).

In Brazil the games come thick and fast, and momentum is key. The momentum is with Palmeiras for sure here - predicting a 2-1 win for Pal here.

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