[Boxing- USA] 5.12/ 23:00 Errol Spence Jr- Danny Garcia
I believe this is the perfect fight for an Errol Spence decision.
Why?
Danny Garcia low punch volume and ko ratio will allow errol to pick him apart from the outside.
Dannys fight style: counter puncher who loves the counter hook, which wont be easy against the longer stronger man
Errol size and reach advantage. He is heavier and longer than danny.
Danny garcias chin: he has a top tier chin (think sean porter type durability), combined with low punch volume which means he wont be opening himself up for a devastating punch. he has never been knocked out over 38 professional fights.
Spence potential gameplan/path to victory: the straight right hand will not allow the smaller garcia to comfortably counter punch. spences punch volume will allow him to easily pick up rounds.
In my opinion spence will outbox and dominate danny from distance similar to how he boxed mikey garcia. Errol is a large southpaw who will be able to control the tempo with jabs and the right cross. If danny does get on the inside, spence will punish him with his larger size and bigger power. he will also dominate the clinch making danny tentative and he wont sell out looking for the KO. I dont see Errol coming in wreckless and forcing a KO either. There is a lot on the line in this PPV. He has an 81% KO ratio, but, in his last 2 fights he has shown restraint against top tier competition and cruised to easy decisions based on what his opponent was giving him.
Other Cautions: Errol spence hasnt fought since his car accident, but by all accounts and videos he looks good. Errol spence stays very heavy between fights (his walking weight is 180+) so he spent a lot of this last camp cutting weight rather than training.
Spence by decision @2,20 Bet365
[Boxing- USA] 5.12/ 23:00 Errol Spence Jr- Danny Garcia
Spence by decision @2,20
